INDEPENDENT TECHNOLOGY STUDIO CHHATRAPATI SAMBHAJINAGAR · INDIA
GS / 003 · RESEARCH INITIATIVE

VAYU-
SENTINEL.

Physics-informed, weather-coupled PM2.5 forecasting for Delhi-NCR. Better forecasts begin with better context — and honest uncertainty.

[ THE PROBLEM ]

Air quality is shaped by more than yesterday's reading.

Pollution evolves with weather, atmospheric mixing, regional transport and emissions. VAYU-SENTINEL explores a forecasting system that combines air-quality observations with meteorological and regional signals to estimate hourly PM2.5 over future horizons.

[ RESEARCH DIRECTION ]

The research stack includes Python-based data processing, gradient-boosted baselines, graph-learning experiments, residual correction and calibrated uncertainty. Planned serving direction includes a FastAPI service and monitoring dashboard.

Historical V1 baseline results exist in project notes. The complete 72-horizon training run has not been completed. This is a research prototype, not an operational forecasting service.

[ WHAT WE ARE TESTING ]
  • Weather coupling and regional transport context.
  • Chronological, leakage-aware validation.
  • Per-horizon comparison against meaningful baselines.
  • Uncertainty intervals calibrated against observed outcomes.